{"id":2030,"date":"2026-08-27T10:23:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-27T10:23:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/?p=2030"},"modified":"2026-08-27T10:23:02","modified_gmt":"2026-08-27T10:23:02","slug":"new-fed-chair-kevin-warsh-under-pressure-to-clarify-views-on-inflation-interest-rates-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/?p=2030","title":{"rendered":"New Fed chair Kevin Warsh under pressure to clarify views on inflation, interest rates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/239e478\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/5616x3742+0+1\/resize\/980x653!\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2Fd6%2F15%2F9fc895aae848190e578cd55e5d19%2Fecdbfa85ee88475eaafa4174edf0e12f\" width=\"100%\" \/><small>Federal Reserve Board Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks during a news conference at the Federal Reserve in Washington, Wednesday, July 29, 2026. (AP Photo\/Mark Schiefelbein)<\/small><\/p>\n<p>2026-08-27T10:00:07Z<\/p>\n<p>WASHINGTON (AP) \u2014 New Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh has brought sharp change in how the central bank communicates by <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/pressreleases\/monetary20260729a.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">saying much less<\/a><\/span> than his predecessors about the economy and inflation.<\/p>\n<p>But so far, many economists and Wall Street investors haven\u2019t been thrilled with that approach.<\/p>\n<p>On Friday, Warsh has a high-stakes opportunity to address those concerns and underscore his inflation-fighting bona fides when he gives his speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, during the Fed\u2019s <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/www.kansascityfed.org\/research\/jackson-hole-economic-symposium\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">annual economic symposium<\/a><\/span>. <\/p>\n<p>What many economists and Wall Street analysts are hoping for is a clear signal on how he thinks the Fed should handle the <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/consumer-spending-inflation-tariffs-wages-a7ee35490dc5be41640379b6eafd11a4\">stubbornly elevated inflation<\/a><\/span> that has caused <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/consumer-confidence-inflation-economy-gas-prices-8fdcfa56f35b9eac2399fe1d167f8fbd\">pervasive gloom<\/a><\/span> among many consumers. At his <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/federal-reserve-inflation-interest-rates-iran-war-ad10c177cb8d96f9e3ed122e12352a74\">last press conference<\/a><\/span>, he sowed confusion by ducking repeated questions on whether the Fed would hike its benchmark interest rate if inflation stays high. <\/p>\n<p>Warsh has said he doesn\u2019t want to provide what analysts call \u201cforward guidance\u201d about whether the Fed will hike or cut rates or stay on hold at upcoming meetings. He argues that it limits the Fed\u2019s flexibility by committing it to a specific policy. He also thinks financial markets have become too dependent on such guidance. <\/p>\n<p>Yet some economists argue that he could say more about his views on Fed policy without tipping his hand about future moves. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat he needs to do is to clarify the conceptual framework he\u2019ll bring to directing monetary policy,\u201d David Wilcox, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, said. \u201cHe\u2019s refused to provide even that amount of illumination.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Whether Warsh will deliver that clarification Friday is an open question. Last month, he said he wanted his speech to focus on the \u201cbig questions\u201d such as AI and productivity, demographic changes, and the global economy\u2019s response to shocks from the Iran war. <\/p>\n<p>    <a><\/a><\/p>\n<p>    <!-- AP \"Read More\" embed (place mid-article) --><\/p>\n<p>  <button type=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\"><br \/>\n    Read More <span aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><br \/>\n  <\/button><\/p>\n<h2>Looking for clues<\/h2>\n<p>How Warsh and the Fed will handle elevated prices is not just an issue for Wall Street. Even as inflation <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/inflation-trump-food-prices-gas-53d221aa918c466172af494ba7debc00\">has cooled<\/a><\/span> after spiking in May and June from higher gas prices, it remains above the central bank\u2019s 2% target. Surveys show most Americans still see the affordability of necessities such as gas, groceries, and housing as a top economic issue heading into the midterm elections.<\/p>\n<p>Notably, interest rates rose when Warsh last spoke publicly at a press conference July 29, pushing up mortgage borrowing costs after the Fed decided to keep its benchmark rate unchanged. <\/p>\n<p>    <a><\/a><\/p>\n<p>    <!-- AP Morning Wire Newsletter Embed (self-contained) --><\/p>\n<p>  <!-- Red AP Prompt Bar --><\/p>\n<p>    <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"6\" viewbox=\"0 0 48 6\"><\/svg><\/p>\n<p>    <\/p>\n<p>    <strong>Sign up for Morning Wire:<\/strong><br \/>\n    Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day.<\/p>\n<p>        <label for=\"ap-newsletter-email-nlmw25\">Email address<\/label><\/p>\n<p>      <button type=\"submit\"><br \/>\n        Sign up<br \/>\n      <\/button><\/p>\n<p>      <label><\/label><\/p>\n<p>        <span><br \/>\n          By checking this box, you agree to AP&#8217;s<br \/>\n          <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/termsofservice\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Terms of Use<\/a><br \/>\n          and acknowledge that AP may collect and use your data pursuant to our<br \/>\n          <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/privacystatement\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Privacy Policy<\/a>.<br \/>\n        <\/span><br \/>\n      <\/p>\n<p role=\"alert\" aria-live=\"polite\">\n<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWarsh effectively lost markets when he was speaking,\u201d said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities. \u201cHe kept talking more about bringing inflation down,\u201d yet when reporters asked what he would do to achieve that, \u201che didn\u2019t really have an answer.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Warsh did tell reporters that \u201cany central banker &#8230; is more inclined\u201d to raise rates \u201cwhen he or she sees underlying inflation moving higher,\u201d which some economists said was in the ballpark of the broader outlook they were looking for. <\/p>\n<p>But Warsh hasn\u2019t said whether he in fact thinks \u201cunderlying inflation\u201d is worsening, or how exactly he is measuring that. When asked what gauge he would use to determine if inflation is at the 2% target, he cited the Fed\u2019s current preferred measure \u2014 the <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/consumer-spending-inflation-tariffs-wages-a7ee35490dc5be41640379b6eafd11a4\">personal consumption expenditures price index<\/a><\/span> \u2014 but he then suggested that could change next year, after the task forces he has appointed to look at things like data sources and inflation make recommendations. <\/p>\n<p>And when asked whether he would support higher rates to combat stubborn inflation, he said they \u201ccould well be part of that solution,\u201d but then added, \u201cI wouldn\u2019t say it\u2019s in isolation.\u201d Some Fed watchers took that to mean he would consider other measures, such as reducing the Fed\u2019s vast holdings of Treasury bonds. Dumping those bonds could push up longer-term borrowing costs, but over a longer time frame. <\/p>\n<h2>Navigating politics<\/h2>\n<p>Questions swirling around Warsh have also been intensified by President Donald Trump\u2019s continued calls for lower interest rates. While Trump has continued to defend Warsh, whom he appointed and who took office May 22, the president has criticized other Fed officials for supporting higher rates. <\/p>\n<p>Trump has also renewed his efforts to <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/federal-reserve-lisa-cook-trump-fire-mortgage-fraud-01eb76b6bc499fcc100921cee91e08a2\">remove<\/a><\/span> Fed governor Lisa Cook, who was appointed by former President Joe Biden. Replacing Cook would enable Trump appoint a majority of the seven-member board. Trump tried to fire her last year but was temporarily blocked by the Supreme Court. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cPolitics are adding to the Fed\u2019s credibility problems,\u201d Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG, wrote in a recent commentary. \u201cThat is why his speech &#8230; later this month matters so much. It is an opportunity for Warsh to demonstrate his and the Fed\u2019s independence from political interference.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Providing a cleaner read on how he would lead the Fed wouldn\u2019t take much, economists said \u2014 just a clearer statement of how the Fed might react if inflation stays high. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cNone of this is radical stuff,\u201d said Wilcox, who is also director of research at Bloomberg Economics. \u201cThe problem is he hasn\u2019t said any of it. And people are beginning to be unnerved that he won\u2019t utter some seemingly simple thoughts.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>If Warsh does assuage some of these concerns, longer-term interest rates could decline slightly. Those rates have <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/bond-market-yields-treasury-bessent-bd0cead63ff1b7f2e99d4c8cce0a28d3\">steadily risen in recent weeks<\/a><\/span> because of a range of factors, including burgeoning U.S. government deficits and outsize borrowing by tech firms building AI infrastructure. <\/p>\n<p>The rate on the 30-year Treasury bond reached the <span><a data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/rates-bond-market-bessent-inflation-c6e148f8235a98245adf04b2d4bdd8d1\">highest level in 19 years last week<\/a><\/span>, prompting an unusual effort by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to buy back bonds and push the yields lower. <\/p>\n<p>When Warsh speaks Friday, \u201cI think just yields not rising would be a victory,\u201d said Derek Tang, an economist at Monetary Policy Analytics, a consulting firm. <\/p>\n<p>        <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/author\/christopher-rugaber\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"CHRISTOPHER RUGABER\" width=\"100\" height=\"100\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/28b91ad\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/1383x1383+0+237\/resize\/100x100!\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2Fe0%2F67%2F42a7dc2f412da33e0899bfc535ea%2Fheadshot-chris-rugaber.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>        <\/p>\n<p>                <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/author\/christopher-rugaber\">CHRISTOPHER RUGABER<\/a><\/p>\n<p>                Rugaber has covered the Federal Reserve and the U.S. economy for the AP for 16 years. He is a two-time finalist for the Gerald Loeb award for business reporting.<\/p>\n<p>                        <a rel=\"noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ChrisRugaber\" target=\"_blank\" data-social-service=\"twitter\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>        <svg><\/svg><\/p>\n<p>        <\/p>\n<p>    <span><br \/>\n        twitter<br \/>\n    <\/span><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>                        <a rel=\"noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/cdn-cgi\/l\/email-protection#8ceffef9ebedeee9feccedfca2e3feeb\" target=\"_blank\" data-social-service=\"mailto\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>        <svg><\/svg><\/p>\n<p>        <\/p>\n<p>    <span><br \/>\n        mailto<br \/>\n    <\/span><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>                <a rel=\"noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/chrisrugaber.bsky.social\" target=\"_blank\" data-social-service=\"Bluesky\"><\/a><\/p>\n<figure>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"28\" height=\"25\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/e68338f\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/400x356+0+0\/resize\/28x25!\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F23%2Fd6%2F24be7e05491da439aed7d88df1a3%2Fbluesky-logo-white-copy.png\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<div>\u83b7\u53d6\u66f4\u591aRSS\uff1a<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/feedx.net\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/feedx.net<\/a> <br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/feedx.site\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/feedx.site<\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Federal Reserve Board Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks during a news conference at the Federal Reserve in Washington, Wednesday, July 29, 2026. (AP Photo\/Mark Schiefelbein) 2026-08-27T10:00:07Z WASHINGTON (AP) \u2014 New Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh has brought sharp change in how the central bank communicates by saying much less than his predecessors about the economy and&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","neve_meta_reading_time":"","_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2030","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2030"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2030\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2030"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2030"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uscnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2030"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}